Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.002231 0.002391 0.002558 0.002744 0.002947 0.003162 0.003406
2024-12-15 0.002009 0.002234 0.002479 0.002765 0.003092 0.003455 0.003890
2024-12-22 0.001847 0.002116 0.002418 0.002785 0.003222 0.003726 0.004357
2024-12-29 0.001699 0.001995 0.002337 0.002765 0.003292 0.003922 0.004740
2025-01-05 0.001583 0.001897 0.002271 0.002752 0.003359 0.004110 0.005118
2025-01-12 0.001467 0.001790 0.002181 0.002698 0.003367 0.004217 0.005394
2025-01-19 0.001381 0.001712 0.002123 0.002675 0.003409 0.004364 0.005724
2025-01-26 0.001270 0.001595 0.002005 0.002567 0.003328 0.004340 0.005817
2025-02-02 0.001243 0.001584 0.002022 0.002635 0.003483 0.004639 0.006374
2025-02-09 0.001208 0.001562 0.002022 0.002677 0.003604 0.004896 0.006886
2025-02-16 0.001204 0.001577 0.002073 0.002791 0.003830 0.005313 0.007661
2025-02-23 0.001158 0.001534 0.002040 0.002785 0.003882 0.005479 0.008065
2025-03-02 0.001103 0.001480 0.001994 0.002766 0.003925 0.005651 0.008521
2025-03-09 0.001052 0.001429 0.001952 0.002749 0.003970 0.005831 0.009010
2025-03-16 0.001012 0.001391 0.001924 0.002753 0.004046 0.006063 0.009603
2025-03-23 0.000966 0.001342 0.001879 0.002725 0.004072 0.006216 0.010074
2025-03-30 0.000926 0.001300 0.001842 0.002708 0.004111 0.006392 0.010601
2025-04-06 0.000880 0.001246 0.001783 0.002654 0.004086 0.006457 0.010932
2025-04-13 0.000845 0.001208 0.001746 0.002631 0.004111 0.006607 0.011430
2025-04-20 0.000791 0.001140 0.001660 0.002525 0.003989 0.006494 0.011419
2025-04-27 0.000783 0.001140 0.001680 0.002591 0.004163 0.006913 0.012474
2025-05-04 0.000769 0.001131 0.001685 0.002633 0.004297 0.007270 0.013439
2025-05-11 0.000772 0.001147 0.001730 0.002745 0.004562 0.007887 0.015002